Those harsh cellphone tones that blare weather warnings? Bucks County residents best get used to them this summer. James McGinnis looked out the long-term forecast window, gathering National Weather Service predictions, in the Bucks County Courier Times.

The weather service’s Mount Holly location — source of Phila. regional condition data — predicts that summer 2022 will look much like summer 2021.

In other words, it will be a months-long stretch of pop-up thunderstorms, flash flood warnings, torrential rainfall, and shearing winds that could whip up into tornadoes.

The cause, according to Paul Pasetlok of AccuWeather, comes from three sources:

1. Rising ground temperatures
2. Warm Atlantic Ocean waters
3. West Coast conditions that have shifted the jet stream

Air heated by the earth’s surface carries more water. The warmer ocean waters spur cloud formations. And the jet stream shifts are bringing warm-cool air clashes over the Phila. region.

All of which are a recipe for violent storms. Sources predict a run of 14–21 named tropical storms or hurricanes in the area.

“We are in a high-risk season,” Pasetlok said.

More on Bucks County’s outlook for harsh weather this summer — including what to do when those phone alarms sound — is at the Bucks County Courier Times.